Feb
We will be rolling out plenty of 2010 fantasy baseball coverage in the coming days, weeks and months, but let’s start right here with player-by-player profiles of our rough top 100 preseason rankings. Stay tuned to the site for more player profiles, draft kit information, rankings, sleepers, busts, etc. as Spring Training approaches.
Carlos Pena, 1B, Tampa Bay Rays
Overview: Premium power hitter who struggles to make consistent contact … has blossomed late in his Major League career, posting at least 30 HRs and 100 RBIs in all 3 seasons with the Tampa Bay Rays … tied for the American League lead with 39 homers (in just 135 games) last season, but also ranked third with 163 strikeouts.
2009 numbers: .227 avg., 39 HRs, 100 RBIs, 91 runs, 3 SBs in 135 games
Key splits and trends: Mix of poor contact rate (34% K rate) and sluggish BABIP (.247) did him in last season … better luck — Pena has a .293 career BABIP — should help move his average back toward a more respectable .250 … missed the final 3 weeks of the season with a broken index finger.
Strengths: Is a poor man’s Ryan Howard in his high power, low average contributions … is on the short list of players with 40-home run potential, but is also unlikely to out-perform his .247 career batting average.
Weaknesses: In addition to struggles making contact, also has a difficult time staying on the field … has never logged 500 at-bats in a single season and has hit better than .250 just once, in 2007.
Bold prediction for 2010: Average climbs back into the .240s and home run total soars into the 40s.
